High diversity of hepatitis c viral quasispecies is associated with early virological response in patients undergoing antiviral therapy

High Diversity of Hepatitis C Viral Quasispecies Is Associated with Early Virological Response in Patients Undergoing Antiviral Therapy Xiaofeng Fan,1,2 Qing Mao,3,4 Donghui Zhou,1,5 Yang Lu,1 Jianwei Xing,1 Yanjuan Xu,1 Stuart C. Ray,3 and Adrian M. Di Bisceglie1,2 Differential response patterns to optimal antiviral therapy, peginterferon alpha plus ribavi-
rin, are well documented in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Among
many factors that may affect therapeutic efficiency, HCV quasispecies (QS) characteristics
have been a major focus of previous studies, yielding conflicting results. To obtain a com-
prehensive understanding of the role of HCV QS in antiviral therapy, we performed the
largest-ever HCV QS analysis in 153 patients infected with HCV genotype 1 strains. A total
of 4,314 viral clones spanning hypervarible region 1 were produced from these patients
during the first 12 weeks of therapy, followed by detailed genetic analyses. Our data show an
exponential distribution pattern of intrapatient QS diversity in this study population in
which most patients (63%) had small QS diversity with genetic distance (d) less than 0.2. The
group of patients with genetic distance located in the decay region (d>0.53) had a signifi-
cantly higher early virologic response (EVR) rate (89.5%), which contributed substantially
to the overall association between EVR and increased baseline QS diversity. In addition, EVR
was linked to a clustered evolutionary pattern in terms of QS dynamic changes. Conclusion:
EVR is associated with elevated HCV QS diversity and complexity, especially in patients with
significantly higher HCV genetic heterogeneity.(HEPATOLOGY 2009;50:1765-1772.)

lic health concern worldwide. Over 2.7 million mation may be valuable in improving the current antiviral Americans are chronically infected with HCV, which results in an estimated 10,000 deaths each year and In this setting, HCV quasispecies (QS) characteris- is a leading indication for liver transplantation.1 Cur- tics have been a major focus of study in patients under- rently, optimal antiviral therapy of chronic hepatitis C going antiviral therapy. However, previous studies with peginterferon alpha plus ribavirin cures up to 80% of have generated conflicting data with regard to the role patients infected with HCV genotypes 2 and 3. However, of HCV QS in the determination of therapeutic effi- the same treatment regimen is effective in only about 50% ciency (see recent review3). Such results are to some of patients infected with HCV genotype 1.2 It is thus extent not surprising because the responses to antiviral important to be able to identify the factor(s), either host therapy represent a complex phenotype that is affected Abbreviations: EVR, early virologic response; HCV, hepatitis C virus; HVR1, hypervariable region 1; QS, quasispecies; SOC, self-organized criticality; SVR, sustained From the 1Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, St. Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; 2St. Louis University Liver Center, St. Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO; 3Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School ofMedicine, Baltimore, MD; 4Department of Infectious Diseases, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University, Chongqing, China; 5Department of InfectiousDiseases, First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China. Received February 4, 2009; accepted August 6, 2009.
Supported by Roche, USA, and NIH grants R01 DK80711 (to X.F.) and R21 AI076834 (to A.M.D.).
Address reprint requests to: X. Fan or A.M. Di Bisceglie, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, St. Louis University School of Medicine, 3635 Vista Avenue, St. Louis, MO 63110. E-mail: [email protected] or [email protected]; fax: (314) 577-8125. Copyright 2009 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com).
DOI 10.1002/hep.23290Potential conflict of interest: Dr. Di Bisceglie is a consultant for and received grants from Roche. Drs. Ray and Mao received grants from Roche.
Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article.
HEPATOLOGY, December 2009 by multiple factors from both the virus and host sides. The quence. After the removal of primer sequences the tar- involvement of these factors certainly interferes with the data get domain for genetic analyses is 399 bp in length.
interpretation from HCV QS studies, especially when the Nucleotide positions containing insertions or deletions study population is small. In addition, techniques used to within this domain were removed for the present anal- assess HCV QS diversity may be another source for data ysis and will be analyzed separately for their potential discrepancy. The effect of mutations on gel mobility of a influence on antiviral therapy. The HCV QS nature given DNA molecule is sometimes unpredictable.4 Thus, was characterized by measuring both genetic complex- data from gel-based assays is not always consistent with the ity and genetic diversity. The definitions and measure- results from cloning/sequencing, which is thought to be the ment of these genetic parameters are outlined in the gold standard technique to assess viral diversity. In the cur- rent study we performed a detailed QS analysis in 153 pa- Phylogenetic analysis was used to verify HCV geno- types and/or subtypes and potential sequence cluster- (peginterferon alfa-2a plus ribavirin). Compared to many previous studies, the current project has several unique fea- constructed two phylogenetic trees, one with all 4,314 tures, such as being the largest study population, with an clones (big tree) and the other with only 153 clones exclusive focus on HCV genotype 1 and the application of respectively representing the dominant HCV QS vari- large-scale cloning and sequencing techniques. These char- ant at the baseline from each patient (small tree). Both acteristics allow a thorough dissection of the potential effect trees were computed using the program MEGA 4 with of HCV QS during antiviral therapy.
Neighbor-Joining approach, using the maximum com-posite likelihood model. We also assumed a rate varia- Patients and Methods
tion among sites with an experienced value of gammaparameter (␣ ⫽ 0.5). Forty-five reference HCV se- Samples. This was an ancillary study of a large clinical
quences, representing different HCV genotypes and trial that aimed to compare the therapeutic efficiency of subtypes, were included.
peginterferon alpha-2a and alpha-2b in treatment-naı¨ve Statistical Analysis. Values of genetic parameters
patients with chronic HCV infection.5 Of 380 patients from comparative analyses were tested for statistical enrolled in the trial, 189 patients were treated with pegin- significance using two-tailed Student's t test. Categor- terferon alpha-2a and are the subjects of the present study.
ical data from cross analyses were tested for statistical Patient recruitment was restricted to HCV genotype 1.5 significance using the ␹2 test with Yate's correction or Serum samples were collected at multiple timepoints dur- Fisher's exact test. With regard to HCV QS diversity at ing the early phase of antiviral therapy, including baseline baseline, we explored its potential distribution pattern (w00), w04, w08, and w12. Deidentified specimens were in this study population (n ⫽ 153). In doing so, a shipped to St. Louis University (SLU) and Johns Hopkins one-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was first used to University (JHU) and stored at ⫺80°C until use. For eachpatient, molecular cloning was planned for two serum test common distribution patterns. Next, a newly de- samples, one at the baseline and the other at the latest veloped procedure was applied to see if the data fit a timepoint during the early phase of antiviral therapy be- power-law or power-law-like distribution, such as ex- fore week 12 with a minimum HCV viral load of more ponential distribution, in which the given quantities than 1,000 copies/mL, approximately equal to 1,111 are tightly clustered around their average values with IU/mL when the HCV RNA level is quantified with much reduced probability far from the mean in a one- Roche Amplicor HCV Monitor, v. 2.0 (lower limit of way direction.8 In this setting the term "decay region" quantification, 600 IU/mL).
is used to denote the low-boundary phase of the distri- Molecular Cloning of HCV Hypervariable Region 1
butions and the value at the proposed low-bound point (HVR1). A 442-basepair (bp) fragment covering HCV
(␹min) on the curve was calculated.8 All statistical anal- HVR1 was amplified by reverse transcription-polymerase yses were done with SPSS (v. 13.0) except for the HCV chain reaction (RT-PCR), followed by gel purification QS distribution analysis, run in MatLab (http://www- and TA cloning. About 15 independent clones for each sample were sequenced. Detailed experimental proce- Nucleotide Sequence Accession Numbers. A total of
dures are provided in the Supporting Material.
3,909 distinct HCV QS sequences generated in this study Genetic Analysis. Raw sequences were edited with
were deposited in GenBank under accession numbers the programs ClustalW6 and BioEdit7 in which HCV FJ688411 through FJ692319. The entire dataset includ- H77 strain (AF009606) served as the reference se- ing 4,313 sequences is available on request.
HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 50, No. 6, 2009 Experimental Performance and Sample Compila-
tion. We had a 100% success rate for the amplification of
a 442-bp target by using the protocol described above.
This high success rate mainly resulted from our efforts to
optimize PCR primers, including their positions and
composition. In some samples with low viral loads near
1,000 copies/mL (n ⫽ 15, 5.7%), we found that it was
necessary to increase the input amount of serum RNA for
reverse transcription (RT). This was achieved by using
280 ␮L of serum, instead of the regular 140 ␮L, for RNA
extraction, followed by the elution into the same volume
of Tris buffer (60 ␮L). Most experiments resulted in a
single visible band with the expected size on agarose gel.
In the molecular cloning experiments the positive rate of
recombinant clones was ⬇95%.
For each patient, HCV QS profiles were generated at two timepoints, the baseline and the latest timepoint dur-ing the early phase of antiviral therapy (ⱕweek 12) with a Fig. 1. Neighbor-joining tree of 153 dominant clones representing minimum HCV viral load more than 1,000 copies/mL.
individual patients and 45 reference sequences from GenBank. A boot- Based on this standard we finally identified 110 patients strap test was done with 500 replicates and is shown at major branches.
Among 153 patients, 38 were infected with HCV genotype 1b and 115 with two timepoints and 43 patients with only one time- were genotype 1a. The latter was further clustered into three subgroups point (baseline), which resulted in 263 serum samples to with more than 90% bootstrap support.
be studied. A total of 4,314 clones were generated andsequenced from these samples, an average of 16.4 clonesper sample. Among 153 patients, 104 (68%) achieved HCV II Line Probe assay mistyped 16 of 17 HCV 1a early virological response (EVR), defined as more than a 2 patients as HCV genotype 1b, suggesting the existence of log decrease of HCV RNA level at week 12 compared to an intrinsic bias to HCV genotype 1b.
the baseline.9 Potential differences between these two There was no significant difference between HCV sub- groups were examined in terms of viral factors, including types with regard to early response patterns, EVR versus baseline viral load, HCV subtypes, QS diversity, com- non-EVR, 1a, 76.9% versus 23.1%, and 1b, 71.4% ver- plexity, and dynamics.
sus 28.6% (Fig. 1). In the phylogenetic tree, HCV geno- Lack of Association Among Viral Load, Subtypes,
type 1a strains were further clustered into three and Early Response Patterns. The phylogenetic tree
subgroups, supported by the bootstrap test (Fig. 1).
constructed with all 4,314 clones (big tree) displayed sin- Again, no statistical significance was detected with respect gle patient-based clusterings, indicating the lack of HCV to the relationship between HCV 1a subgroups and early coinfection with different subtypes or strains. This obser- response patterns in terms of current treatment regimen vation further excluded any contamination during the experimental performance. We verified the HCV geno- We also investigated the potential relationship and in- type/subtype for all patients through the phylogenetic teractions between pretreatment HCV RNA levels and analysis of 153 viral sequences representing dominant QS early response patterns, HCV genotypes, and subgroups.
variant from each patient. Thus, 115 patients were in- As shown in Table 1, pretreatment HCV viral load was fected with HCV genotype 1a and 38 with HCV geno- not associated with early virological response patterns type 1b (Fig. 1). HCV genotype 1a isolates further formed (P ⫽ 0.137), HCV genotypes (P ⫽ 0.489), or HCV 1a three clusters, named subgroups 1, 2, and 3 (Fig. 1).
subgroups (P ⫽ 0.171).
Among 109 patients with HCV subtypes based on Inno- Effect of HCV QS Diversity on Antiviral Therapy.
LiPA HCV II Line Probe assay, 17 appeared to have been We separated our amplified region into two domains, mistyped based on our phylogenetic analysis (Fig. 1).
HVR1 (81 bp) and non-HVR1 (318 bp), to avoid possi- Thus, the Inno-LiPA HCV II Line Probe assay seems to ble masking of statistical significance due to apparently have an error rate of HCV subtyping at 15.6%, consistent unequal nucleotide substitution rates between these two with a previous report.10 More interesting, the Inno-LiPA domains. Next, we performed the analyses at two levels, HEPATOLOGY, December 2009 Table 1. Lack of Correlation Between HCV Viral Load at Baseline and Response Patterns, HCV Genotypes, and HCV 1a
HCV Subtype
HCV 1a Subgroup
P value† HCV viral load was determined by using Roche Amplicor HCV Monitor Test, version 2.0 (Roche Diagnostics) and is expressed as average log10 values and standard †Two-tailed t test under the assumption of two-sample equal variance. NP, not performed.
pretreatment genetic diversity and its early dynamic population-based genetic diversity without the consider- changes during antiviral therapy.
ation of sequence differences between two populations, With regard to pretreatment genetic diversity, subjects which is reflected by the net change. In other words, the with EVR had overall higher values than non-EVR group net change estimates the extent of "clustered evolution" in most parameters measured. Thus, for HVR1, d 0.253 in terms of its phylogenetic representation.11 versus 0.1723; dS 0.0849 versus 0.0810; dN 0.1451 ver- The average change in genetic diversity was calculated sus 0.1033, and for Non-HVR1, d 0.0333 versus 0.0265; based on either HVR1 (81 bp) or non-HVR1 region (318 dS 0.0528 versus 0.0528; and dN 0.0064 versus 0.0051.
bp). The net change was determined with HVR1 only.
However, only HVR1 dN reached statistical significance Both EVR and non-EVR groups displayed a trend toward (P ⫽ 0.039) (Fig. 2).
decreasing genetic diversity over time, shown as all posi- The criteria for sample selection identified 110 patients tive values of genetic parameters. However, the average with serum samples to be cloned and sequenced at two change of non-HVR1 dN increased in the EVR group timepoints, one at baseline and the other at the latest (Fig. 3). Because the absolute values of dN change of timepoint during the early phase of antiviral therapy non-HVR1 are actually very minimal in both EVR and (ⱕweek 12) with a minimum HCV viral load more than non-EVR groups (0.0013 versus 0.0018), such an in- 1,000 copies/mL. Again, these patients were separated crease may not be biologically significant. The EVR group into two groups, EVR (n ⫽ 66) and non-EVR (n ⫽ 44).
had a more prominent decrease of genetic diversity over We conducted two kinds of group-based analyses, the time than the non-EVR group (Fig. 3). However, the average change and net change of genetic diversity be- difference between the two groups was not statistically tween two timepoints. Average change simply compares significant (Fig. 3).
Fig. 2. The correlation between EVR or non-EVR patterns and genetic diversity at baseline. Although the EVR group showed a higher genetic Fig. 3. The correlation between early virologic response patterns (EVR diversity than the non-EVR group, the difference between the two groups or Non-EVR) and dynamic changes of genetic diversity. Both the average did not reach statistical significance (two-tailed t test) except for HVR1 and net changes were more apparent in the EVR group than the non-EVR dN, which indicated a higher pressure for the positive selection in the EVR group. The difference between two groups did not reach statistical significance (two-tailed t test).


HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 50, No. 6, 2009 The net change of genetic diversity had similar patterns as the average change. The EVR group was associatedwith more apparent decrease of net genetic diversity.
Again, the difference between the EVR and Non-EVRgroup was not supported statistically (Fig. 3).
Genetic complexity was estimated by measuring aver- age Shannon entropy in the HVR1 domain. Like geneticdiversity, the EVR group had a higher pretreatment ge-netic complexity than the non-EVR group at either thenucleotide or amino acid level (Fig. 4). The latter reachedstatistical significance (P ⫽ 0.0499). The average changeof genetic complexity was also higher in the EVR groupthan that in the non-EVR group, although this differencewas not statistically supported (Fig. 4).
Distribution of QS Diversity in Patients Infected
with HCV Genotype 1 Isolates. The current project,
the largest-ever QS study yet to focus on HCV genotype
1, investigated possible distribution patterns of QS diver-
Fig. 5. Histogram of baseline QS diversity in the study population. The sity. Using HVR1 genetic distance (d), we first plotted its number of patients in each category of genetic distance (d) based onHVR1 was calculated. The distribution of QS diversity in this study histogram in this study population. The distribution pat- population fit an exponential distribution (P ⫽ 0.132 by KS test) in which terns were subsequently estimated by a one-sample Kol- most patients (about 63%) had a small d value less than 0.2. The ␹min, estimated using the described formula in MatLab, is about 0.53, whichput the genetic distance from 19 patients in the decay region (shaded exponential distribution (P ⫽ 0.132) with the exclusion area). This group of patients had a much higher EVR rate (89.5%) of normal (P ⬍ 0.001), uniform (P ⬍ 0.001), and Poi- compared to the overall EVR rate (68%, P ⫽ 0.032) or patients with sson (P ⬍ 0.001) distributions (Fig. 5). We further cal- genetic distance less than 0.53 (65%, P ⫽ 0.016). KS test, one-sampleKolmogorov-Smirnov test.
culated the lower bound (␹min) using described formulasunder the hypothesis of either continuous power-law orexponential distribution.8 The power-law distributionwas not favored due to the short tail, only 15 patients located in the power-law region (␹min ⫽ 0.58), which is We evaluated HCV QS heterogeneity at baseline and too few to be meaningful. The ␹min for exponential dis- its dynamic changes during the early therapeutic period.
tribution was equal to 0.53, putting genetic distance from In this type of study, sampling bias is often a concern due 19 patients in the decay region (Fig. 5).
to the lack of normalization of the entry HCV RNAamount used for RT-PCR.12 Thus, viral QS heterogene-ity may be to some extent dependent on viral titers. How-ever, under our experimental procedure and studyprotocol we consider the potential for sampling bias to beminimal, and its role on our observations and conclusionsunimportant. First, we previously failed to detect a statis-tical relationship between QS diversity and viral titers.13Second, for a given viral region used to measure QS di-versity, such as HVR1 in this study, QS diversity is main-tained by sequencing an adequate number of clones,usually ⬎10, and the use of fixed PCR primers.14,15 Fi-nally, we focused on comparative HCV QS analyses be-tween EVR and non-EVR groups. There is no statisticaldifference with regard to their average HCV viral loads ineither group, which may further reduce the sampling bias,assuming it exists. An additional limitation, by the nature Fig. 4. Comparisons of genetic complexity between EVR and non-EVR of the PEAK study that only followed patients through groups. Pretreatment HCV genetic complexity (left side) and its average the first 12 weeks of therapy, is the inability to correlate change over time (right side) were compared between two groups ateither the amino acid or nucleotide level. AA, amino acid; Nu, nucleotide.
HCV QS heterogeneity with sustained virologic response HEPATOLOGY, December 2009 (SVR). Rather, we chose to correlate it with EVR. The versity or complexity in the EVR group, this trend may be number of patients with rapid virologic response (RVR), only the reflection of the elimination of drug-sensitive defined as undetectable viral RNA at week 4, was only 11 HCV QS variants. However, this explanation cannot be patients (7.2%), making it difficult to analyze. Nonethe- applied to the sequence diversification (net change) in less, we actually did not find any viral factors analyzed in which a similar trend has been featured. Thus, consistent this study that were specifically associated with RVR (data with previous reports, HCV QS diversification is more not shown). Thus, we focused on the EVR rather than likely associated with early response patterns.11 RVR. EVR is also a response pattern that appears to re- By taking the advantage of this largest-ever HCV QS flect intrinsic sensitivity of HCV to combination therapy.
study, we explored potential distribution patterns of in- It has been reported that EVR is a very good predictor of trapatient HCV QS diversity at the population level. In SVR.16 Data interpretation from our study may have gen- contrast to viral load that displayed a typical normal eral applicability in terms of HCV antiviral therapy.
(Gaussian) distribution among 153 patients we studied HCV genotype is a well-documented independent fac- (data not shown), the QS diversity showed a best fit to an tor affecting the efficiency of antiviral therapy.2 The large exponential distribution (Fig. 5).23 This finding has sev- size of this study population allowed us to examine eral important implications. First, the exponential distri- whether or not such an observation can be extended to bution of QS diversity may explain long-existing HCV subtype level. Statistically, we demonstrated that controversies with regard to the role of QS diversity in pretreatment HCV viral loads, HCV subtypes, and HCV HCV antiviral therapy.11,24-40 Although the overall EVR subgroups within HCV genotype 1a are not determinants rate in this study population is about 68%, the group of of early response patterns. Previous studies suggest that a patients with HVR1 genetic distance beyond the low low baseline HCV viral load is an independent predictor bound (␹min ⫽ 0.53) has a significantly higher EVR rate to SVR (reviewed17). In our study, the EVR group even (89.5%, P ⫽ 0.032) (Fig. 5). In fact, when taking out the had a higher average viral load, although the differences patient group with large QS diversity (d ⬎0.53), the sta- between groups were not statistically supported (Table 1).
tistical significance of dN values was lost in terms of its The discordance may be attributed to multiple factors, association with the EVR (EVR, 0.106 versus non-EVR, such as different therapeutic regimens, patient selection, 0.092, P ⫽ 0.194). Thus, assuming a potential role of QS and various stages of disease progress.18,19 Alternatively, it diversity in the antiviral therapy, we can conclude that may simply suggest that pretreatment HCV viral load is such a role may become dominant only in patients with not an independent factor to predict therapeutic effi- large QS diversity (d ⬎0.53). This conclusion was also true in the similar analysis using dN values (data not An important finding came from our QS analysis. Due shown). Because the QS diversity in most patients, as to known differences in mutation frequency between measured by genetic distance (d), is less than 0.53 (Fig. 5), HVR1 and non-HVR1 domains, our analysis focused on intrinsic uncertainty is actually accompanied with any HVR1. EVR was associated with increased baseline QS HCV genetic studies to explore the role of QS diversity in diversity, shown as higher values of genetic diversity and the antiviral therapy, especially when the study popula- complexity. Especially, dN reached statistical significance tion size is small. For example, in our previous study there (P ⫽ 0.039). The dN reflects the strength of evolutionary was only one patient confirmed with genetic distance selection that is frequently interpreted as immune pres- larger than 0.53 among 29 patients studied (36).
sure.20 Because HVR1 contains putative B and T cell Second, since the introduction of QS theory into virol- epitopes,21,22 our observation suggests a role of pretreat- ogy, most viral genetic studies simply use this term to ment immune status in the determination of early viro- describe viral genome heterogeneity. Its original defini- logical response patterns. Compared with previous tion is largely ignored.41,42 According to this theory, all studies, it should be emphasized that our conclusion is viral variants in infected individuals form a network and more solid in terms of statistical power given the large act as a unit in response to internal or external interfer- number of patients studied. Additionally, two aspects of ence, such as antiviral therapy. In this study we found that HCV QS dynamics have been assessed, including genetic the EVR is associated with high QS diversity. Such an diversity/complexity (average change) and sequence di- observation is not easily understood with classical popu- versification (net change). In the former aspect, both EVR lation biology because high QS diversity indicates an in- and non-EVR groups display a general trend of reduced creased possibility to contain drug-resistant viral variants.
genetic diversity and complexity after the start of antiviral In this setting, QS theory may provide a plausible expla- therapy. Such a trend seems more apparent in the EVR nation by treating the entire viral population as an acting group. Given the fact of higher pretreatment genetic di- unit presumably in a status of the self-organized criticality HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 50, No. 6, 2009 (SOC), which is a prevailing hypothesis to explain many 9. Di Bisceglie AM, Fan X, Chambers T, Strinko J. Pharmacokinetics, phar- complex phenomena in nature, including exponential macodynamics, and hepatitis C viral kinetics during antiviral therapy: thenull responder. J Med Virol 2006;78:446-451.
distribution.43 Consequently, high QS diversity may im- 10. Ross RS, Viazov S, Roggendorf M. Genotyping of hepatitis C virus isolates ply a critical status in which HCV reaches its maximum by a new line probe assay using sequence information from both the 5' capability to maintain the QS network. Such a status, as untranslated and the core regions. J Virol Methods 2007;143:153-160.
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